Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy February
Our asset allocation stance remains moderately constructive, consistent with a policy-supported expansion and broadening earnings backdrop. The macro environment continues to favor carry and selective risk-taking, and we take a slightly more active step into risk this month. Funding is rebalanced away from DM bonds and cash, while maintaining a disciplined implementation within a still moderately pro-risk framework.
In fixed income, we reinforce our preference for carry, increasing exposure to emerging market debt while reducing allocations to developed market bonds. Credit remains supported by solid fundamentals, stable technical and attractive carry, and continues to play a central role in portfolio construction. Sovereign exposure in developed markets is trimmed at the margin, consistent with stable yields and a reduced need for defensive duration. Overall, fixed income positioning remains focused on income generation rather than directional duration bets.
In equities, we increase exposure to Emerging Markets, reflecting improving relative momentum, more attractive valuations and a supportive global growth environment. Developed market equity exposure remains stable, preserving a pro-cyclical tilt aligned with the expansionary base case. The equity allocation remains a key driver of growth within the portfolio, complemented by carry-oriented exposures elsewhere.
In FX, we make no changes this month, maintaining existing positions as relative value signals remain stable. In commodities, we maintain an overweight in precious metals and industrial commodities. Within precious metals, we partially reduce the overweight and take profits following the recent rally in gold and silver. In contrast, we increase exposure to industrial metals, reflecting our more pro-cyclical growth outlook and improving demand dynamics.
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